The Great Fragmentation: Alliances Crumble in 2026 Power Shift

The post-WWII order fractures under U.S. transactionalism, unleashing bipolar U.S.-China rivalry and nuclear unconstrained risks as New START expires. Middle powers like Gulf states fill voids with privatized diplomacy, while AI escalates flashpoints. This volatile reconfiguration threatens 1-2% annual global growth contraction amid $100T debt.