IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecast Below 3.3% on Iran War Oil Gas Disruptions

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva warned on April 9, 2026, that the Iran war will downgrade global growth forecast from 3.3% despite fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced Tuesday. Disruptions to oil, natural gas, refineries, and fertilizer shipments erode business confidence. Sub-Saharan Africa and small island nations face highest risks due to high debt constraining fiscal responses.